vovrВысшее образование в России (Vysshee obrazovanie v Rossii = Higher Education in Russia)Vysshee Obrazovanie v Rossii = Higher Education in Russia0869-36172072-0459Moscow Polytechnic University10.31992/0869-3617-2021-30-8-9-125-133vovr-2941Research ArticleУНИВЕРСИТЕТ И РЕГИОНUNIVERSITY AND REGIONАнализ и прогнозирование успеваемости обучающихся при использовании цифровой образовательной средыAnalysis and Forecasting Students’ Academic Performance Using a Digital Educational EnvironmentШухманА. Е.ShukhmanA. E.

Шухман Александр Евгеньевич – канд. пед. наук, зав. кафедрой геометрии и компьютерных наук

460018, г. Оренбург, проспект Победы, 13

Alexander E. Shukhman – Cand. Sci. (Education) Head of the Department of Geometry and Computer Science

13, Prospekt Pobedy, Orenburg, 460018

shukhman@gmail.comПарфеновД. И.ParfenovD. I.

Парфенов Денис Игоревич – канд. техн. наук, начальник отдела цифровых образовательных платформ

460018, г. Оренбург, проспект Победы, 13

Denis I. Parfenov – Cand. Sci. (Engineering), Head of the Department of digital educational platforms

13, Prospekt Pobedy, Orenburg, 460018

parfenovdi@mail.ruЛегашевЛ. В.LegashevL. L.

Легашев Леонид Вячеславович – канд. техн. наук, начальник отдела сопровождения дистанционных образовательных технологий

460018, г. Оренбург, проспект Победы, 13

Leonid L. Legashev – Cand. Sci. (Engineering), Head of the Department for Distant Learning Technologies

13, Prospekt Pobedy, Orenburg, 460018

silentgir@gmail.comГришинаЛ. С.GrishinaL. S.

Гришина Любовь Сергеевна – преподаватель кафедры прикладной математики

460018, г. Оренбург, проспект Победы, 13

Lyubov S. Grishina – Lecturer at the Applied Mathematics Department

13, Prospekt Pobedy, Orenburg, 460018

grishina_ls@inbox.ruОренбургский государственный университетРоссияOrenburg State UniversityRussian Federation202107092021308-9125133Copyright © Шухман А.Е., Парфенов Д.И., Легашев Л.В., Гришина Л.С., 20212021Шухман А.Е., Парфенов Д.И., Легашев Л.В., Гришина Л.С.Shukhman A.E., Parfenov D.I., Legashev L.L., Grishina L.S.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://vovr.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2941

В статье рассмотрены технические решения, использованные в ОГУ для организации цифровой образовательной среды. Также проведено исследование успеваемости обучающихся технических и гуманитарных специальностей и направлений в период обычного обучения и в период локдауна. Анализ успеваемости показывает отсутствие значимых отклонений в ту или иную сторону, при этом выделяются ключевые внутренние и внешние факторы, оказывающие влияние на успеваемость обучающихся. Можно сделать вывод, что использование как внутренних, так и внешних факторов даёт высокую точность прогнозирования итоговой успеваемости обучающихся.

Analysis and Forecasting Students’ Academic Performance Using a Digital Educational Environment The article discusses technical solutions used at Orenburg State University to organize a digital educational environment. Also, the authors have studied the academic performance of technical and humanities students during the period of face-to-face education and during the lockdown period. The analysis of academic performance shows the absence of significant deviations in one direction or another. The key internal and external factors that influence the students’ academic performance are highlighted. It can be concluded that the use of both internal and external factors gives a high accuracy in predicting the final progress of students.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.